Monday, January 22, 2007

Semiconductor industry also demonstrates cyclicity effects. The industry is extremely cyclical. The industry segments are Automotive, computer, consumer, Medical, Defence and Industrial.

Taiwan is leader in computer, Japan/S Korea in consumer, EU in automotive semiconductor.
Semiconductor industry also demonstrates capital intensity effects. Typically 25% of annual revenues goes in capital investment, and 20% of annual revenues goes in R&D. It demonstrates significant economy of scale efficiencies. Access to cheap capital has therefore become a decisive factor in locating production.It is generally observed that unit costs of production for semiconductors decrease by 30 percent if cumulative output doubles. There is also an important ‘first mover’ advantage in the semiconductor industry. Due to falling product prices and a short product cycle, companies can only recover their investments for a short period of time at the beginning of the product cycle. Being first on the market therefore gives significant competitive advantage both in terms of return on investment and learning effects.It is a proof of industries aligning in areas of core-competence: Only companies good in core-competence can become large, actually they become very large ie Fabless companies(Mediatek, Novotek, VIA, Realtek), Wafer Companies(EPISIL, Waferworks), Mask companies(DuPont Photomasks, PSMC, TCE, TMC), fabrication companies(TSMC & UMC), Packaging companies(ASE, SPIL, OSE), chip testing companies(ASE, KYEC, Powertech), Tooling(Cadence, Mentor Graphics, Synopsys, EverCAD, SpringSoft) etc. It proves that in a truly efficient industry, no one can do it all. Its the supply chain that counts.

Some 95% of all wafers are produced in 10 countries. Japan ranks number one with 28% of worldwide production capacity, followed by the US with 20%, Taiwan 14%, EU 12%, South Korea 9%, China 6%, Singapore 5%, and Malaysia 1%
I am in Taiwan right now. Taiwan has 14% of world semi-conductor market. Semi-conductor industry demonstrates a multiple maginifier effect in downstream sector. From a worldwide base semiconductor market of $213bn (€171bn) in 2004, the industry enables the generation of some $1200bn in electronic systems business and $5000bn in services, representing close to 10% of world GDP. People have argued about absence of semi-conductor industry in India. India can live with it, if it can create applications/services out of base semi-conductors. This way, semi-conductor industry will accentuate in countries like Taiwan growing the competitiveness of these countries, and India can draw significant revenues out of the applications/services. Every one wins.

Sunday, January 07, 2007

http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/cs/pdf/0210/0210026.pdf is an amazing paper on attack taxonomy that organizes all the known IT security attacks in the world. The defence mechanism can be very simple: Only restrict the user input and you can get away with most of the issues. Otherwise, store all the data in encoded format, and do output escaping. Such a simple solution for all security problems in the world!!